And exactly this is going to happen. I still have a hard time comprehending just how large the Cat Christmas Tree shirt of people who are thwarting basic public health recommendations actually is. I love tgiving too. So after a bit of discussion with my partner, we decided we’d do a food swap with the ppl we usually have Thanksgiving with that live nearby. Everyone makes a dish and we’ll pack it in Tupperware. Then we’ll meet somewhere outside and exchange food, so everyone has a complete tgiving meal without having to prep every dish themselves and end up with enough leftovers to last through the apocalypse. Go back to our homes to eat, and spin up zoom or Google hangouts or whatever.
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Now, this doesn’t mean that there’s an 8.7% chance of Cat Christmas Tree shirt . It’s entirely possible that two COVID spreaders show up at one party, which would deny there being a COVID spreader at another party. And from a perspective of spread, it’s certainly better for two COVID spreaders to be at a single gathering than for two gatherings to have one spreader each. And COVID spreaders aren’t randomly distributed; in fact, I would say that if one person shows up with COVID, it’s more likely that there are multiple people with COVID because they’re all sharing households and social circles. So let’s handwave a bit and say that if there’s one person spreading COVID at a gathering, then on average there are actually two COVID spreaders at that gathering.