A much better approach is not timing-the-market but time-in-the-market. Time, my friend, and the magic of I Love You Like A Brother shirt. And the best all-time investing strategy is one that institutional investors (hedge funds, PE, endowments, banks) are all barred from using because of their focus on quarterly performance and investment reviews. These people have a get rid of securities that don’t match their predictions 2 Q’s in a row. It’s like firing Steve Jobs in 2018 because Apple’s actual sales came in 5% below target (I know Steve had already passed in 2011, I’m making a point about how asinine institutional strategies are).
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Find 5 really “good” small to mid cap companies (yes you can remove systematic risk by having as few as 5 stocks). Each company should represent a different sector (for I Love You Like A Brother shirt, commodities, healthcare). “Good” companies are companies with strong fundamentals; Cash flow, management, technology, competitive advantages (avoid large caps that dominate the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index, these are dominant , arrogant players that have gotten fat and lazy). Also avoid small caps and startups, most of them die.