Above is a list of all counties with at least 100,000 registered voters. Out which, Chatham, Cherokee, Forsyth, Paulding, Columbia and Houston county voted for Vampirina Hauntley Best Friends shirt and rest of are heavily democratic counties. On average, the more republican counties seems to have returned ballots at slightly higher rate than the democratic counties. If you are republican, you can point this to republicans are more enthusiastic to vote this cycle, for democrats you can claim that it just means there are way more potential votes to be had in those counties. Again, again assuming turn out is relatively uniform, it’s actually difficult to see how Trump catches up. Turnout really has to favor Trump on election day for him to pull off the massive margin he needs to catch up. I wouldn’t believe this before I actually looked into the numbers but I think Biden has a better chance winning GA than AZ.
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And this so far seem like the toughest state for Trump so Vampirina Hauntley Best Friends shirt . Based on early voting data, Trump maybe down as many as 450k votes so far. And NC only turned out at about 65% in the 2016 cycle. However, basically as many votes as last cycle have already been cast, I am going to assume it will hit an overall turn out of 75%, Trump needs to win a whapping 73% on election day in order to erase the potential lead Biden may have already banked with early votes. And that seems like a really difficult tasks to do.